Introduction to Chapter 8: Hypothesis Testing with One Sample
Figure 9.1. You can use a hypothesis test to decide if a dog breeder’s claim that every Dalmatian has 35 spots is statistically sound. (Credit: Robert Neff)
One job of a statistician is to make statistical inferences about populations based on samples taken from the population. Confidence intervals are one way to estimate a population parameter. Another way to make a statistical inference is to make a decision about a parameter. For instance, a car dealer advertises that its new small truck gets 35 miles per gallon, on average. A tutoring service claims that its method of tutoring helps 90% of its students get an A or a B. A company says that women managers in their company earn an average of $60,000 per year.
A statistician will make a decision about these claims. This process is called “hypothesis testing.” A hypothesis test involves collecting data from a sample and evaluating the data. Then, the statistician makes a decision as to whether or not there is sufficient evidence, based upon analyses of the data, to reject the null hypothesis.
In this chapter, you will conduct hypothesis tests on single means and single proportions. You will also learn about the errors associated with these tests.
Hypothesis testing consists of two contradictory hypotheses or statements, a decision based on the data, and a conclusion. To perform a hypothesis test, a statistician will:
Set up two contradictory hypotheses.
Collect sample data (in homework problems, the data or summary statistics will be given to you).
Determine the correct distribution to perform the hypothesis test.
Analyze sample data by performing the calculations that ultimately will allow you to reject or decline to reject the null hypothesis.
Make a decision and write a meaningful conclusion.
Note
To do the hypothesis test homework problems for this chapter and later chapters, use the following solution sheet.
Hypothesis Testing with One Sample
H0: _______
Ha: _______
In words, CLEARLY state what your random variable \(\overline{X}\) or \({P}^{\prime }\) represents.
State the distribution to use for the test.
What is the test statistic?
What is the p-value? In one or two complete sentences, explain what the p-value means for this problem.
Use the previous information to sketch a picture of this situation. CLEARLY, label and scale the horizontal axis and shade the region(s) corresponding to the p-value.
Indicate the correct decision (“reject” or “do not reject” the null hypothesis), the reason for it, and write an appropriate conclusion, using complete sentences.
Alpha: _______
Decision: _______
Reason for decision: _______
Conclusion: _______
Construct a 95% confidence interval for the true mean or proportion. Include a sketch of the graph of the situation. Label the point estimate and the lower and upper bounds of the confidence interval.
Collaborative Exercises
Collaborative Exercise
Bring to class a newspaper, some news magazines, and some Internet articles. In groups, find articles from which your group can write null and alternative hypotheses. Discuss your hypotheses with the rest of the class.